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NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET · Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods · CIK 0000883569
$6.55
-2.96% · live
Updated
$382.2M market value
From Fossil Group, Inc.'s FY2026 10-K, filed Mar 12, 2026 · read the filing
It took in $1.00B last year, which makes it a mid-sized company. It spends more than it earns — losing about 8 cents on every dollar of sales.
The financial picture is led by accounting, while profitability, growth and debt remain weak.
A conclusion from the filings, not a recommendation. Detailed figures and supporting evidence appear in their dedicated sections below.
A published bankruptcy-risk model places it in its distress range. This is a statistical reading, not a forecast.
Altman Z-Score 1.72
These are things the company filed or that a published model flagged — not predictions, and not a reason on their own to buy or sell anything.
Financial health
Several areas of financial weakness.
From Fossil Group, Inc.'s FY2026 annual filing · share price scored separately
Largest year-over-year changes in FY2026
Operating income
-$103.9M → -$19.1M
Free cash flow
$39.9M → -$60.5M
Capital spending
$6.8M → $2.6M
Profit
-$106.3M → -$77.8M
Measured against FY2024, from the 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026
Improved: $84.9M narrower
-$103.9M to -$19.1MCritical
Why it matters: Profit from running the business, before interest and tax. Less exposed than profit to one-off financing and tax items, so a clearer read on the business itself.
How the latest move compares (quote live), and what was published around it
FOSL fell 2.96% on the latest quote. The S&P 500 moved −1.04%. That is 1.9 points below the market.
Expectations
Not from the filings — what other people are betting on, and what the price already assumes.
Measured on and published about a week later — this is a fortnightly snapshot, not a live position.
About 9.7% of this company's shares have been borrowed and sold by people expecting to buy them back cheaper. That is a bet the price falls. Those people can be wrong, and when a heavily shorted share rises they have to buy it back, which pushes it up further.
The essentials
Each answered from the filings, with the numbers behind it.
No. It lost $77.8M last year, losing about 8 cents on every dollar of sales.
No. Sales shrank 12.3% last year.
Yes — it carries debt while operations are consuming cash rather than generating it. For every $1 it owes, it owns $1.18 in assets. Its operating profit does not cover its interest bill — -0.94x against the interest it owes. A bankruptcy-risk model also places it in its distress range.
Core operating and valuation reference metrics
Income
This company pays no dividend. It keeps its profits and reinvests them in the business instead, so any return would have to come from the share price.
Figures from the FY2026 annual filing
Last year it lost $77.8M and generated -$57.9M of cash from operations.
Reported annual figures
As reported to the SEC, in USD. Hover or show sources to see where each figure came from.
| Income statement | FY202610-K · Mar 12, 2026Filing for FY2026 | FY202410-K · Mar 12, 2025Filing for FY2024 | FY202310-K · Mar 13, 2024Filing for FY2023 | FY202210-K · Mar 9, 2023Filing for FY2022 | FY202110-K · Mar 10, 2022Filing for FY2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueWhat is this? | $1.00B | $1.14B | $1.41B | $1.68B | $1.61B |
| Cost of revenue | $441.3M | $547.8M | $732.8M | $851.8M | $843.0M |
| Gross profit | $563.1M | $597.2M | $679.6M | $830.7M | $770.4M |
| Gross marginGross profit ÷ revenueWhat is this? | 56.1% | 52.2% | 48.1% | 49.4% | 47.7% |
| Selling, general and administrative | $540.1M | $638.8M | $777.2M | $823.7M | $835.1M |
| Operating income | -$19.1M | -$103.9M | -$143.0M | -$1.5M | -$135.3M |
| Operating marginOperating income ÷ revenueWhat is this? | -1.9% | -9.1% | -10.1% | -0.1% | -8.4% |
| Interest expense | $20.2M | $19.0M | $21.8M | $19.2M | $31.8M |
| Income before tax | -$49.8M | -$118.1M | -$156.1M | -$22.1M | -$172.0M |
| Net income | -$77.8M | -$106.3M | -$156.7M | -$43.5M | -$95.9M |
| Net marginNet income ÷ revenueWhat is this? | -7.7% | -9.3% | -11.1% | -2.6% | -5.9% |
| Earnings per shareNet income ÷ shares outstanding at the period end — close to, but not the same as, the reported EPSWhat is this? | $-1.33 | $-2.00 | $-2.98 | $-0.8397 | $-1.86 |
† calculated from other reported figures, such as total liabilities as assets minus equity. There is no consecutive earlier year to compare with.
Insider activity, ownership stakes and what's coming — straight from EDGAR, before any article is written about it
Officers, directors and major shareholders must report within two business days of a trade.
Had shares withheld to cover taxes — 295,125 shares at $6.90 ($2.0M)
Holds 1,726,875 shares after this filing.
Was granted or awarded shares — 65,217 shares
Holds 230,329 shares after this filing.
20 recent filings, newest first. Each is labelled from its form and item numbers, not from its wording.
Had a director or senior officer leave or join · Held a shareholder vote
Read the filingQuarterly report for Q2 FY2025
Operating margin −2.3 pts · Operating income -62.3% · Profit $8.5M wider — against Q2 FY2025
Read the filingWrite down why you are following Fossil Group, Inc., what has to go right and what would change your mind, then see each new annual report measured against it. Sign in to start one.
Go deeper
Every figure above traces back to a filing in the timeline, each linked to the document itself.
Coverage from the last 30 days
Fossil Group, Inc. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
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Sebastian Digrande and Chandhu Nair Elected to Fossil Group Board of Directors; Wendy Schoppert Elected Chair of the Board
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Fossil Group (FOSL) Stock Gets Fair Value Boost As Turnaround Progress Lifts Analyst Views
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Are Retail-Wholesale Stocks Lagging Fossil Group (FOSL) This Year?
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Every company's figures are checked for internal consistency: the balance sheet adding up, figures sharing one currency, cash flow and share counts within plausible ranges, and how recent the latest annual report is. Nothing here changes a figure.
Financial figures are from FOSL's 10-K for fiscal year 2026 (period ending 2026-01-03, filed Mar 12, 2026), reported under the US GAAP taxonomy. View the source filing. Total liabilities were not tagged directly and were calculated as assets minus equity.
4 of 4 scored areas had enough reported figures to judge
The score averages profitability, growth, debt and accounting. All four had enough reported figures. Cash generation is shown for context and already feeds profitability. Valuation is scored separately, because a share price says nothing about whether the business is sound. 9 of the 9 Piotroski checks could be evaluated. How the score works
Each year scored only from its annual report as it was first filed
| Fiscal year | Health | F-Score | Scored from |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 2.0 | 1/3 | 10-K, filed Mar 12, 2026 |
| FY2024 | 4.0 | 6/9 | 10-K, filed Mar 12, 2025 |
| FY2023 | 4.0 | 3/9 | 10-K, filed Mar 13, 2024 |
| FY2022 | 5.0 | 5/9 | 10-K, filed Mar 9, 2023 |
| FY2021 | 2.0 | 2/3 | 10-K, filed Mar 12, 2021 |
| FY2019 | 3.0 | 2/9 | 10-K, filed Feb 27, 2020 |
A later restatement never reaches back into an earlier year, and every year is scored without a share price, so the latest point can differ a little from the headline score, which uses today's price.
Every check behind the three models, and what each one tests
3 of 9 checks passed
Nine yes-or-no tests of whether this year's finances improved on last year's.
1.72
In the distress zone
For this model, above 2.99 is safe and below 1.81 is distress.
Distance from bankruptcy, from a model fitted on companies that did and did not go bust. It describes a balance sheet's shape today; it does not forecast a failure.
-2.69
Below the threshold — nothing unusual flagged
Scores above -1.78 are the ones the model associates with earnings manipulation.
Screens eight accounting ratios for the pattern earnings manipulators tend to leave. A flag is a reason to read the filing closely, never evidence of wrongdoing.
Every figure above comes from the FY2026 filing as filed with the SEC.
Deteriorated: turned negative
$39.9M to -$60.5MCritical
Why it matters: Cash left after paying for the plant that produced it — the money genuinely available for dividends, buybacks or paying down debt. Harder to flatter than profit.
Changed: -62.0%
$6.8M to $2.6MCritical
Why it matters: Neither good nor bad on its own. Heavy spending is a company building capacity or a company struggling to stand still, and the two look identical in this figure.
Improved: $28.4M narrower
-$106.3M to -$77.8MSignificant
Why it matters: Profit swings far more than sales do, and one-off items — a legal settlement, a tax charge, an asset sale — move it without the underlying business changing.
Improved: +3.9 pts
52.2% to 56.1%Significant
Why it matters: What survives each sale before overheads. Falling gross margin usually means the company is discounting or its input costs rose — it is the earliest place pricing pressure shows.
Improved: +7.2 pts
-9.1% to -1.9%Significant
Why it matters: What survives each sale after running the business. A falling operating margin beside a steady gross margin points at overheads — wages, marketing, research — rather than pricing.
Improved: $0.66 narrower
-$2.00 to -$1.33Significant
Why it matters: Profit divided by the shares in issue at the period end, so it sits close to but not on the company's own reported figure. It can rise with no growth in profit when the company buys back stock — read it beside the share count.
Deteriorated: +21.2%
$165.9M to $201.1MSignificant
Why it matters: Rising debt is not automatically bad — borrowing to build something that earns more than the interest is ordinary. It matters when it grows faster than the profit meant to service it.
Deteriorated: -22.5%
$123.6M to $95.8MSignificant
Why it matters: A falling cash pile is only a warning if the company is consuming it. Paying down debt, buying back stock and paying a dividend all reduce cash by choice.
Deteriorated: +9.6%
53.3M to 58.4MSignificant
Why it matters: New shares divide the same company into more pieces, so each existing holding owns slightly less of it. Often pay for staff or an acquisition rather than anything wrong.
Deteriorated: -12.3%
$1.14B to $1.00BNotable
Why it matters: Sales are what everything else is built on. A fall can be lost customers, lower prices, or a business the company sold — the filing itself says which.
Deteriorated: -5.7%
$597.2M to $563.1MNotable
Why it matters: What is left of sales after the direct cost of producing them. It normally moves with revenue, so a move out of step with revenue is the part worth noticing.
Improved: +1.5 pts
-9.3% to -7.7%Notable
Why it matters: What survives to the very end of each sale. Worth reading beside revenue: growing sales on a shrinking margin means the company is buying its growth.
Q2 FY2025 against Q2 FY2025, from the 10-Q filed Aug 13, 2026 — read it.
Deteriorated: -62.3%
$8.5M to $3.2MCritical
Why it matters: Profit from running the business, before interest and tax. Less exposed than profit to one-off financing and tax items, so a clearer read on the business itself.
Deteriorated: $8.5M wider
-$2.1M to -$10.6MCritical
Why it matters: Profit swings far more than sales do, and one-off items — a legal settlement, a tax charge, an asset sale — move it without the underlying business changing.
Deteriorated: $0.14 wider
-$0.04 to -$0.18Critical
Why it matters: Profit divided by the shares in issue at the period end, so it sits close to but not on the company's own reported figure. It can rise with no growth in profit when the company buys back stock — read it beside the share count.
Improved: +4.9 pts
57.5% to 62.4%Significant
Why it matters: What survives each sale before overheads. Falling gross margin usually means the company is discounting or its input costs rose — it is the earliest place pricing pressure shows.
Deteriorated: −4.1 pts
-1.0% to -5.1%Significant
Why it matters: What survives to the very end of each sale. Worth reading beside revenue: growing sales on a shrinking margin means the company is buying its growth.
Deteriorated: +22.6%
$165.6M to $203.0MSignificant
Why it matters: Rising debt is not automatically bad — borrowing to build something that earns more than the interest is ordinary. It matters when it grows faster than the profit meant to service it.
Deteriorated: -28.1%
$109.9M to $79.0MSignificant
Why it matters: A falling cash pile is only a warning if the company is consuming it. Paying down debt, buying back stock and paying a dividend all reduce cash by choice.
Deteriorated: +9.9%
53.8M to 59.1MSignificant
Why it matters: New shares divide the same company into more pieces, so each existing holding owns slightly less of it. Often pay for staff or an acquisition rather than anything wrong.
Deteriorated: −2.3 pts
3.9% to 1.5%Notable
Why it matters: What survives each sale after running the business. A falling operating margin beside a steady gross margin points at overheads — wages, marketing, research — rather than pricing.
Figures compare the two most recent annual filings — read the latest one. Moves are graded on fixed lines — 5%, 15% and 40% for amounts, and 1, 3 and 8 points for margins — as notable, significant or critical. Nothing here reads the management commentary, which is where a company explains its own numbers.
These coincide with the move in time. None is presented as its cause: a price can move on news that names no company, on the wider market, or on trading that no document records.
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Collected by FINRA from broker-dealers twice a month. It counts positions, not intentions, and some of it is hedging rather than a directional bet against the company.
Nothing in this section is a figure this company reported about itself. These are expectations and positions — what the price implies, what analysts have published, what short sellers are betting, and what large funds held at the last count. WylthIQ reports them; it does not endorse them, does not forecast prices, and takes no view on whether any of them will turn out to be right.
Trailing P/E is not meaningful because the latest trailing earnings are zero or negative. The price-to-book and price-to-sales figures below still provide reference points.
Nothing unusual. Its accounting patterns look like those of companies that report earnings straightforwardly.
Was granted or awarded shares — 65,217 shares
Holds 156,983 shares after this filing.
Was granted or awarded shares — 16,284 shares
Holds 22,719 shares after this filing.
Not investment advice, and not a signal to act on by itself — a filing says what happened, not why, and insiders trade for ordinary reasons having nothing to do with where they think the company is headed.
Proxy statement for a shareholder meeting
Published results
Read the filingReported another event
Read the filingQuarterly report for Q1 FY2026
Operating margin +8.3 pts · Operating income turned positive · Profit $17.2M narrower — against Q1 FY2025
Read the filingPublished results
Read the filingAnnual report for FY2026
Read the filingHad a director or senior officer leave or join
Read the filingAnnual report for FY2026
Read the filingPublished results
Read the filingHeld a shareholder vote
Read the filingProxy statement for a shareholder meeting
Read the filingSigned a material agreement · Took on a direct financial obligation · Sold shares outside a public offering · Reported another event
Read the filingSigned a material agreement
Read the filingQuarterly report for Q3 FY2025
Revenue -6.1% · Profit margin −3.7 pts · Profit $8.1M wider — against Q3 FY2024
Read the filingPublished results
Read the filingReported another event
Read the filingReported another event
Read the filingMade a Regulation FD disclosure
Read the filingTractor Supply Q3 Earnings Beat on Sales Growth, Margins Fall
Yahoo Finance ·
Primary sources and further research